Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.004888 3.222359 3.456143 3.727616 4.036071 4.377935 4.788715
2025-12-07 2.620167 2.903241 3.225016 3.622723 4.108144 4.691198 5.460531
2025-12-14 2.367272 2.674624 3.036029 3.500640 4.095094 4.849995 5.917076
2025-12-21 2.232792 2.564346 2.965622 3.499577 4.212522 5.166590 6.610266
2025-12-28 2.115497 2.461297 2.889576 3.475758 4.287040 5.423416 7.253386
2026-01-04 1.983511 2.328710 2.763249 3.370152 4.232517 5.482789 7.597055
2026-01-11 1.907424 2.261276 2.714619 3.362036 4.309557 5.738924 8.301751
2026-01-18 1.867057 2.236514 2.718897 3.424765 4.492537 6.178707 9.423176
2026-01-25 1.961336 2.394006 2.978854 3.874722 5.319815 7.825096 13.459496
2026-02-01 1.849401 2.265406 2.831458 3.706286 5.135673 7.662277 13.545200
2026-02-08 1.740502 2.136627 2.677811 3.518789 4.903821 7.381903 13.280924
2026-02-15 1.672126 2.061280 2.597114 3.438684 4.846462 7.426724 13.851850
2026-02-22 1.611268 1.999930 2.542036 3.408696 4.897177 7.741619 15.425446
2026-03-01 1.535499 1.915114 2.449458 3.314620 4.829285 7.815223 16.413166
2026-03-08 1.463326 1.831951 2.354530 3.209118 4.728230 7.799365 17.132416
2026-03-15 1.424568 1.794584 2.325406 3.208191 4.818858 8.222118 19.648223
2026-03-22 1.383940 1.752517 2.286583 3.187543 4.868813 8.563561 22.202636
2026-03-29 1.328842 1.687177 2.209033 3.095839 4.770045 8.526218 23.141484
2026-04-05 1.297732 1.655745 2.182067 3.088781 4.838785 8.925780 26.640924
2026-04-12 1.282876 1.647522 2.190431 3.143294 5.039486 9.729931 33.838410
2026-04-19 1.338971 1.747625 2.375655 3.531766 6.027626 13.309945 84.842195
2026-04-26 1.282948 1.674809 2.277249 3.386863 5.784664 12.795437 82.378848
2026-05-03 1.225929 1.599147 2.172057 3.224838 5.490601 12.057854 74.497556